The conclusion of the 2025 Golden Globes has set the stage for an exciting awards season, with its outcomes poised to influence the 2025 Oscars. As we enter the new year, awards buzz is intensifying, particularly following the 82nd Golden Globes ceremony, which signals a bustling lead-up to the 97th Academy Awards. Among the big winners this year, Emilia Pérez and The Brutalist emerged as significant contenders, with Emilia Pérez capturing four Golden Globes from a remarkable ten nominations.
Despite ongoing debates about the relevance of the Golden Globes on the Oscars, these two ceremonies remain pivotal in the awards landscape. The growing admiration for The Brutalist and Emilia Pérez at the Globes only underscores their potential impact on the Oscars, hinting at upcoming shifts in nominee expectations and frontrunner dynamics as the season progresses.
Impact of Golden Globes Wins on the 2025 Oscars Best Picture Race
The Brutalist and Emilia Pérez Shine at the Golden Globes
The Golden Globes victories for both The Brutalist and Emilia Pérez in their respective categories—Best Motion Picture – Drama and Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy—have substantial implications for the upcoming Oscars. Historical data reveals that 62% of the time, the Oscar winner for Best Picture has also captured a Golden Globe in one of these categories. With The Brutalist winning against strong contenders like Dune: Part Two, and Emilia Pérez triumphing over films such as Anora, the stakes are undeniably high for these films in the Best Picture race.
While traditionally, the winner of Best Motion Picture – Drama has had favorable odds at the Oscars—winning 40 out of 81 times—the trend has shifted in the 21st century, with only a 37.5% match rate since 2000. Thus, while a nomination for The Brutalist seems likely, its path to victory remains uncertain.
Additionally, Emilia Pérez‘s win for the Musical category does not guarantee an Oscar win, as historical performance indicates only an 11 out of 72 instances where the Golden Globe winner went on to claim the Oscar for Best Picture. The film’s divisive reception may further complicate its prospects.
Brady Corbet’s Golden Globes Win: Implications for the Oscars Best Director Race
Corbet’s Position Strengthened
Brady Corbet secured his stature in the Best Director race with his Golden Globe win, further endorsing the success of The Brutalist. His victory over anticipated nominees like Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) enhances his credibility as a frontrunner. Corbet’s success continues a seven-year trend in which the Best Director and Best Motion Picture – Drama wins coincide.
Historically, the correlation between Best Director and Best Picture winners stands at 71%. If The Brutalist maintains its momentum, Corbet is poised for Oscar success. Conversely, even if his film does not win, his existing accolades—including a prior Silver Lion at Venice—provide a robust case for his candidacy.
Impact of Golden Globes Wins on the 2025 Oscars Best Actor Race
Brody and Stan Lead Best Actor Contenders
The recent Golden Globes have notably reshaped the landscape for the Best Actor category at the Oscars. With Adrien Brody winning Best Actor in Drama for The Brutalist and Sebastian Stan claiming Best Actor in Musical or Comedy for A Different Man, the field appears more competitive than ever. Brody triumphed over other expected nominees like Timothée Chalamet and Ralph Fiennes, positioning him as a strong Oscar contender.
Historically, a win at the Golden Globes for Best Actor in Drama strongly predicts an Oscar victory—achieved 10 times in the last 12 years. It places Brody in a favorable light as he seeks his second Oscar, given his newly sparked momentum.
Meanwhile, Stan’s victory elevates his candidacy for an Oscar nomination. Initially viewed as a lesser contender, his recent success now indicates a potential clash with Daniel Craig for a final nomination spot, as Brody, Chalamet, and Fiennes seem likely to secure their places.
Analyzing the Best Actress Golden Globes Wins and Their Oscar Implications
Moore and Torres Alter the Best Actress Race Landscape
The Best Actress category is now brimming with contenders following Demi Moore (The Substance) and Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) snagging Golden Globes. Moore triumphed in a competitive field against expected Oscar nominees, while Torres’s win highlights her significant recognition. The unpredictability within this category has only escalated, with several actresses in contention.
Given the growing support for Moore, her victory at the Golden Globes further bolsters her chances for an Oscar nomination. This year, her role has emerged as a leading contender, making her one of the most discussed figures entering the Oscars race.
Kieran Culkin’s Win: Implications for the Best Supporting Actor Race at the 2025 Oscars
Culkin Strengthens Oscar Frontrunner Position
With his Golden Globe win for Best Supporting Actor, Kieran Culkin is now viewed as a significant frontrunner for the same category at the Oscars. His rising trajectory is underscored by the prevailing sentiment that he surpassed other leads who may have been favored, such as Denzel Washington. This victory marks a crucial turning point in his Oscar aspirations.
Zoe Saldaña’s Golden Globes Win: Analyzing Best Supporting Actress Implications
Saldaña Emerges as the Frontrunner
Zoe Saldaña’s victory in Best Supporting Actress for Emilia Pérez has established her as the clear frontrunner for the Oscar. The anticipation surrounding her performance had built before the Globes, and now she appears even more solidified in this role as the awards season continues. There were initial thoughts that Ariana Grande (Wicked) could disrupt this narrative, but with Saldaña’s win, she remains atop the competition.
Conclave’s Golden Globe Win for Best Screenplay and Its Oscar Implications
Conclave Gains Momentum Towards Best Picture
Conclave garnered attention by winning Best Screenplay, courtesy of Peter Straughan, thereby keeping the film relevant in the ongoing awards discussions. However, it’s important to note that a Golden Globe win does not necessarily predict an Academy Award win, especially as the Best Screenplay winner has not won in the adapted category since 2008. Still, Conclave may leverage its screenplay success to bolster its Best Picture aspirations.
Flow’s Golden Globe Win for Best Animated Movie: What It Means for the Oscars
Flow Outshines Established Contenders
Flow triumphed over fierce competition—including The Wild Robot and Inside Out 2—for the Golden Globe for Best Animated Movie, reinforcing its legitimacy as an Oscar contender. While the latter films had prior acclaim, Flow’s win indicates that it should not be underestimated as the awards season intensifies, positioning it as a potential nominee for the Oscars.
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross’s Golden Globe Win: Insights into Best Score for the Oscars
Challengers’ Soundtrack Remains a Contender
Emilia Pérez’s Best Original Song Win and Its Potential Impact
“El Mal” Establishes Itself as a Strong Contender
With the win for Best Original Song at the Golden Globes, “El Mal” from Emilia Pérez is now in a prime position headed into the Oscars. Although Selena Gomez’s track was initially favored, Saldaña’s song gained significant traction post-Golden Globes, making it a leading candidate as the season progresses. The competition for this accolade will remain fierce, but “El Mal” has established itself as a noteworthy contender.
Emilia Pérez’s Win for Best Non-English Feature: Oscar Implications
Emilia Pérez Poised for International Oscar Victory
By securing the Golden Globe for Best Non-English Feature alongside its win for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy, Emilia Pérez enhances its prospects for the Academy Awards. It has now solidified its status as a frontrunner for the Best International Feature Film category, especially given the challenge it faces for the Best Picture nomination. This accolade could represent one of the film’s most significant achievements at the 2025 Oscars.